Tropical Depression 16 Forms in the SW Caribbean
- Author: Rogelio Becker Oct 06, 2017,
Oct 06, 2017, 0:17
Nate is now causing flooding and torrential rain over portions of Central America, especially Nicaragua, with sustained winds around 40 miles per hour. A tropical storm warning was in effect for parts of Nicaragua and Honduras, with a hurricane watch in effect for parts of Mexico.
Before then, the future tropical storm or hurricane will dump up to 30 inches of rain on a few locations in Nicaragua and 20 inches in Costa Rica and Panama, according to the US National Hurricane Centre. If the current track holds, Nate would make landfall as a tropical storm or cat 1 hurricane somewhere between New Orleans and Tampa.
The system is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico by Friday night and continue moving north. It is a more likely candidate to become a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves northward toward the Gulf by this weekend.
A forecast cone for a growing tropical depression as of 11 a.m. Wednesday, Oct. 4, 2017.
The system could approach hurricane strength as it approaches the Yucatan Peninsula late Friday into Saturday.
Hurricane Harvey barrelled into the U.S. state of Texas, killing 82 and unleashing biblical flooding to levels not seen since Hurricane Sandy in 2012. We should know more by Thursday and Friday.
The disturbance is now forecast by the models to move northward into the Gulf of Mexico. NOAA's final in-season season forecast on August 9 called for 14-19 named storms, while the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University called for 16 named storms and eight hurricanes in their final in-season prediction on August 4.